Research Note: Current New Zealand Population Projections (June, 2021)
Key information from current population projections developed by Statistics NZ, especially those based on 2018 or since, are provided, with brief commentary on the results and their interpretation.
Bascand, Geoffrey & Kim Dunstan (2014). New Zealand's demographics and population ageing. New Zealand economic papers, 48 (2), 129-138.
Bedford, Richard; Paul Callister; Robert Didham (2010). Missing men and unacknowledged women: explaining gender disparities in New Zealand's prime adult age groups, 1986-2006. New Zealand population review, 36 (1), 1-26.
Bryant, John (2005). What can stochastic population projections contribute to policy analysis? New Zealand population review, 31 (1), 1-11.
Callister, Paul; Robert Didham (2014). Insights from the Census: sex ratios, partnering, and caring for an ageing population. New Zealand sociology, 29 (2), 109-114.
Cameron, Michael (2017). The relative (un)certainty of subnational population decline. Policy quarterly, 13, 55-60.
Cameron, and Michael & Jacques Poot (2019). Towards superdiverse Aotearoa: dimensions of past and future ethnic diversity in New Zealand and its regions. New Zealand population review, 45, 18-45.
Crothers Charles (2020) Social change in New Zealand: Preliminary investigation of the last two decades of social background characteristics. New Zealand Sociology, 35 (1), 203-244.
Jackson, Natalie & Lars Brabyn (2017). The mechanisms of subnational population growth and decline in New Zealand, 1976-2013. Policy quarterly, 13, 22-36.
NIWA (2016). Climate Change Scenarios https://niwa.co.nz/our-science/climate/information-and-resources/clivar/scenarios.
Pool, Ian (2017). New Zealand's population and development path: unravelling the 'when', 'how' and 'why'. Policy quarterly, 13, 10-21.
Spoonley, Paul (2020). The New New Zealand. Massey University Press.
Statistics New Zealand (2016). How accurate are population estimates and projections? An evaluation of Statistics New Zealand population estimates and projections, 1996–2013. Retrieved from www.stats.govt.nz.
Statistics NZ (2017). internal migration estimates using linked administrative data 2014-17.
Wilson, Tom (2005). Application of a probalistic framework to New Zealand's official national population projections New Zealand population review, 31 (1), 51-75.